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Lockdown legacies: 10 shifts in consumer behaviour that are set to last

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Home delivery is one of the biggest shifts in retail during pandemic (Image:DPD)
Home delivery is one of the biggest shifts in retail during pandemic (Image:DPD)
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A year on, futuroligist Tom Cheesewright analyses the data and outlines the changes to how people shop that are going to stick

Exactly a year after the first national lockdown, new research from Barclaycard Payments, has uncovered the 10 biggest shifts in consumer behaviour which have emerged as a result of the pandemic – and are set to outlive it.

 

With increased time at home, there have been significant changes in the way people consume goods, including what they buy, the channels that they buy through and how they like to pay.

 

Barclaycard Payments has partnered with Tom Cheesewright, one of Britain’s leading Futurists, to understand what these shifts mean for the future of British retail. Here is what he predicts.

 

  1. Online grocery shopping surge

Online grocery shopping has seen consistent growth over the past 12 months, with recent Barclaycard data revealing a 115.2% increase in online grocery spend in February alone, compared to the same month last year. This trend is even more pronounced among the over 65s, whose online supermarket spend more than quadrupled (+332.5%) year-on-year. Almost six in 10 Brits (57%) say they’ll continue to buy at least some of their groceries online even after all restrictions end. However, brick-and-mortar supermarkets will remain crucial for the four in ten (39%) people who plan to continue buying all of their groceries in-store.

  1. Growth in home deliveries

With the closure of non-essential shops for extended periods of time, consumers have been receiving an average of two extra deliveries per month since March 2020 (seven parcels now vs five before March 2020). This equates to over 86 packages in total over the course of a year. This growth in deliveries is here to stay, with over half of people expecting to receive either the same amount (47%) or more (10%) in the future.

  1. ‘Click & Collect’ boom

One in three (30%) consumers say they have used ‘Click and Collect’ more frequently since the start of the pandemic. On average, shoppers now use the service three times per month compared to twice a month in 2019. Almost all (90%) of those who have been using ‘Click and Collect’ more often since the start of the pandemic will keep this up once all restrictions have been lifted.

 

  1. Rising rate of returns

In the last 12 months, over half (51%) of Brits have returned items that they have bought online, compared to 47% in the same period in 2019 and 46% in 2016. 12% of Brits report returning more because they are not able to try items on in-store and nine% have used home deliveries as a try-on service, ordering multiple sizes and colours in the absence of a shop changing room. Returns pose a number of challenges to retailers, both logistically and financially, so it will be interesting to see whether the market moves towards disincentivising excessive returns once lockdown restrictions end, by tightening up returns policies.

 

  1. “Come to me” retail

Since the start of the pandemic, one in 10 (9%) consumers have used “come to me” retail, where a concierge-style service delivers clothing to customers’ homes and waits while they try it on, so that they can immediately return any items they don’t want. The convenience of ”Come to me” is proving popular, with 94% of customers planning to use it again. Of particular interest to fashion retailers, a third (34%) of shoppers said they would be more inclined to buy from a brand offering “come to me” retail as an option, while four in ten (38%) said they would prefer this service to receiving deliveries and returning unwanted items by mail. While this method might not be scalable for brands dealing with higher volumes, it’s a great example of how smart businesses are looking for ways to provide smoother and more seamless shopping experiences.

 

  1. Mobile payments soaring

Lockdowns have changed not only what we buy and where we buy it, but also how we pay for our purchases, with mobile payments growing substantially in the past year. In fact, Barclays consumer debit data reveals that Apple Pay grew rapidly in 2020 compared to 2019, in particular in Leisure & Entertainment, where online debit transactions increased by 70%. With ‘digital wallets’ and mobile payment services soaring, physical wallets are becoming less popular. Three in ten (30%) consumers and over half of 25-34-year olds (55%) say they now regularly leave their wallet or purse behind because all they need is their mobile phone.

 

  1. Staying local

One major positive from the past year is the support people have showed for local and independent businesses, with almost two thirds (64%) of Brits choosing to shop closer to home. Barclaycard Payments data shows shoppers spent an extra 63.3% in February at food and drink specialist stores, such as butchers, bakeries and greengrocers, compared with the same month last year. Shopping locally is set to be a lockdown legacy, with nine in ten (91%) Brits who have been shopping locally throughout the pandemic saying they will keep doing this to support smaller and independent businesses even after all restrictions end.

 

  1. More mindful spending

Nearly three quarters of people (71%) now think more carefully about how they spend their money and nine in ten (92%) of those who do, planning to continue being more mindful of their spending habits even after lockdown lifts. With more time available to scour the internet at home for the perfect gift, half of Brits (50%) also say they have put more thought into what they’ve bought for others, with the majority (83per cent) of those confident this behaviour will continue. The additional time has also meant people are doing more research to ensure the products they buy are made ethically (46%), with 88% planning to continue this shift in behaviour after lockdown ends. Retailers can take advantage of this by highlighting their ‘mindful’ credentials; nudging more consumers to make a purchase.

 

  1. Dine-at-home experiences

In an attempt to recreate the restaurant experience at home, 10% of Brits tried a DIY meal kit for the first time during lockdown, and 9% have spent more money on them since March 2020. Around a quarter (24%) of those who have been ordering at-home restaurant kits, will continue doing so even after hospitality venues reopen and one in five (21%) will still order at-home alcoholic drinks tasting experiences. While many bars/restaurants may have seen this type of product as a lifeline during lockdown, dine-at-home experiences could still be valuable sources of revenue even after they’ve reopened their doors.

 

  1. Investing in infrastructure

Encouragingly, Barclaycard Payments’ research with retailers shows that small and medium sized businesses are responding to this new landscape, with nearly three in ten (29%) planning to invest in new equipment and technology in 2021, and (13%) viewing technology as the top opportunity for growth over the next year.

 

Cheesewright, adds: “Echoes of this pandemic will be heard long after lockdown is lifted through a sustained shift in our buying behaviours. Changes we expected to happen over a decade have been condensed into a year, leading us to ask: what’s next? The trend towards online and concierge services look set to continue, with shoppers seeking ever greater convenience and clawing back time to spend elsewhere. Retailers that can strip friction from their sales process while making us feel special will continue to succeed. Meanwhile, we continue to seek a greater connection with our local community, going against the all-digital trend. Suburban stores that have survived lockdown look set to thrive when it lifts.”

 

Kirsty Morris, Managing Director at Barclaycard Payments, says: “A year of on-and-off lockdown restrictions have accelerated many retail trends and created some new, unexpected ones. We can’t wait for the pandemic to be over, but in many ways it’ll be here forever through the consumer habits it has helped shape."

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